Tuesday, November 17, 2009

Mount Ellis?

Right when we thought we were done talking trades regarding the Golden State Warriors, Tim Kawakami of the San Jose Mercury News has reported that Monta Ellis and his agent will meet with the Warriors this week to discuss is future. I'm not close in any NBA circle, but I believe that if your meeting with a team the week one of your best players gets traded, something isn't right. According to other reports, Ellis has been very upset with coach Don Nelson, and he even said today that he was the teams only defender, because of the trade of Jackson. Another source indicated that the Warriors HAVE been calling teams to offer Ellis in a trade. He doesn't seem happy, and I think he saw the blueprint of getting your way out of Golden State. Complain to the media enough, and alienate your teammates will get you your wish. The entire franchise seems to be a mess. Don Nelson never got along with GM Chris Mullin, and he eventually was replaced by Larry Riley. Ever since their epic upset of the Dallas Mavericks in the 2007 playoffs, this team hasn't made a playoff series, and they seem to be in a serious disconnect. The team let Baron Davis go, let Mickael Pietrus go, traded Jason Richardson, let Matt Barnes go, and traded Stephen Jackson. There doesn't seem to be any continuity with this team. As if things weren't bad enough, it is being reported that F Anthony Randolph is also very upset with the team, but I highly doubt they will trade him.

Another reason you could see Ellis get traded is the fact that the team is going no where. The Warriors are 3-6, they just traded Jackson, and they are battling a bunch of injuries. G Kelenna Azibuke is out for the year, F Brandon Wright will be out for an extended period of time, newly acquired G Raja Bell is having wrist surgery, and C Andris Biedrins is battling a bad back. The Warriors season already looks to be in trouble and we are only 9 games in.

In regards to Ellis, I can see him getting traded, but I have a feeling he will stay put. He is young (24 years old), has solid size for a PG (6-3), solid defender, good finisher, has lightning quick speed, and he has a solid mid-rangejumper. He doesn't dish out a lot of assists (5 per game), and he can't really shoot the 3 well (29% for his career). I just don't see how he would fit here in Cleveland. We already have a PG in Mo Williams, and while he isn't a great assist man, neither is Ellis. You could move Mo to the bench, but you would have to trade a combination of Gibson/West/Hickson/Z. If you have to trade Hickson to get Ellis, I wouldn't do it. I wouldn't trade Z for him unless you could get another bigman in return (Ronny Turiaf). If you can trade him for Wally and Delonte/Daniel, then I might consider it, but I would still be hesitant trading Delonte. He returned tonight, and while he is still uncertain, he can handle the ball and he can play D on the perimeter.

Ellis' contract is also very long. It pays him $11 million for the next 4 seasons. While it isn't that bad because he is so young, but it could hamstring us in a couple years when it comes time for free agency. With Ellis' elite speed, he seems better suited to play in a fast paced style of offense, such as the one in Golden State or New York. Also, Ellis does not have to size to guard Paul Pierce, Ray Allen, Vince Carter, and Kobe Bryant, which was something Jackson had (this is one reason I wanted Jackson). While this isn't a fact, I don't think the Warriors will trade Ellis for pennies on the dollar like they did Jackson. They will look to get nearly full value for him because it would look bad to their fan base if they trade 2 of their best players for either draft picks, young un-proven players, or expiring contracts.

I have always been a big fan of Ellis, he is an excitingly good player. I just don't think he fits with the Cavs style of play. The Cavs biggest need is a tall SG/SF who can guard the perimeter, score at will, and be willing to come off the bench. Ellis doesn't fully fit that description for me. I just think the Cavs will end up having to give up more than people expect. You never say never in the NBA, but don't count on Ellis wearing a Cavs uniform anytime soon.

Also, since Allen Iverson has been released, people have tried to rationalize him on the Cavs. You have a better chance of me playing on the Cavs than AI. He is a small SG at 6'0, who doesn't defend, pass, and isn't willing to come off the bench. Not the exact description the Cavs are looking for.

If I hear any updates about Ellis or other possible name, I will continue to write my thoughts to put some pieces together. Untill then, thank you and go Cleveland!

-Raz

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